Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.956479 4.255897 4.576254 4.946093 5.363274 5.821642 6.366600
2025-04-13 3.398115 3.803411 4.264775 4.834945 5.529371 6.359513 7.445705
2025-04-20 3.076304 3.534778 4.078908 4.784180 5.692602 6.851015 8.489109
2025-04-27 2.915089 3.423467 4.048437 4.892727 6.036295 7.585304 9.949318
2025-05-04 2.786422 3.332289 4.023513 4.991261 6.361961 8.324856 11.549746
2025-05-11 2.637728 3.199064 3.926515 4.974417 6.513925 8.824642 12.876227
2025-05-18 2.500841 3.068781 3.819252 4.926993 6.607253 9.237977 14.139829
2025-05-25 2.352393 2.912145 3.662768 4.791646 6.547218 9.390162 14.960724
2025-06-01 2.234964 2.789859 3.544439 4.699832 6.540872 9.624011 15.985586
2025-06-08 2.161022 2.722417 3.497774 4.709180 6.693834 10.150350 17.742291
2025-06-15 2.111781 2.685922 3.491884 4.778387 6.950303 10.900938 20.227957
2025-06-22 2.005140 2.562633 3.351714 4.625201 6.808985 10.873909 20.859268
2025-06-29 1.910495 2.455840 3.235431 4.510479 6.739166 11.008441 22.041816
2025-07-06 1.828811 2.364691 3.138547 4.421679 6.709581 11.227565 23.570644
2025-07-13 1.765078 2.296578 3.072446 4.378040 6.757074 11.616526 25.770898
2025-07-20 1.739690 2.283262 3.088817 4.472905 7.074753 12.660318 30.624331
2025-07-27 1.713799 2.267579 3.099980 4.558842 7.385324 13.762231 36.550529
2025-08-03 1.667599 2.219004 3.056147 4.544161 7.490715 14.388035 41.163202
2025-08-10 1.618875 2.164504 2.999904 4.502808 7.535492 14.869025 45.606754
2025-08-17 1.557383 2.088150 2.904850 4.384635 7.404533 14.852843 47.620296
2025-08-24 1.507077 2.027399 2.832740 4.304342 7.348260 15.037432 50.976572
2025-08-31 1.477099 1.997099 2.809186 4.312523 7.487764 15.817592 58.870604
2025-09-07 1.458695 1.984090 2.813449 4.373047 7.752550 17.049426 72.091608